The ceasefire negotiation with Iran is built on a category error: the assumption that the Islamic Republic is a rational actor seeking to survive. The regime's own statements argue otherwise. Iran's semi-official Tasnim news agency, citing a knowledgeable source, reported Sunday that Tehran is "not optimistic" about a deal with Washington and that no final understanding has … [Read more...] about The Deal That Won’t Hold — And Why That May Be Correct
Opinion
Washington’s Iran Capitulation Will Cost More Than the Deal Is Worth
The framework taking shape between Washington and Tehran is not a diplomatic achievement. It is a document that legitimizes an Iranian nuclear program, rewards three years of accelerated enrichment, and asks nothing serious in return. The comparison to the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action is flattering to the current effort. The JCPOA, whatever its structural weaknesses, … [Read more...] about Washington’s Iran Capitulation Will Cost More Than the Deal Is Worth
Trump’s Indecisiveness Has Emboldened Iran. Now Trump Is Cornered.
When You Have to Shoot, Don't Talk The problem with Trump's Iran policy is not that he went to war. The war is right. The Islamic Republic is a destabilizing theocracy that has armed every terror proxy in the region, financed the murder of Israelis, Saudis, and Iraqis alike, and spent four decades treating the Strait of Hormuz as a loaded gun pressed against the world's … [Read more...] about Trump’s Indecisiveness Has Emboldened Iran. Now Trump Is Cornered.
The UAE’s OPEC Exit Is a Middle East Realignment, Not an Oil Story
The announcement was framed in the bloodless language of energy policy — production capacity reviews, market flexibility, national interest. But the United Arab Emirates' decision to quit OPEC and OPEC+, effective May 1, 2026, is not primarily a story about barrels per day. It is a story about which world the UAE has chosen to live in. That choice has been building for … [Read more...] about The UAE’s OPEC Exit Is a Middle East Realignment, Not an Oil Story
Hormuz Is a Message to Beijing and Moscow
The Strait of Hormuz is not a regional problem. It is a global stress test, and two men in particular are grading the paper. Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin do not care about the Persian Gulf the way Washington cares about it. They care about what the response to a crisis there reveals — about American attention span, alliance cohesion, and the price the West is willing to pay to … [Read more...] about Hormuz Is a Message to Beijing and Moscow